Skip to main content

Last updated:

As an Amazon Associate, Smart TV Comparisons earns from qualifying purchases. Prices and availability are subject to change. Learn about our affiliate policy.

When to Buy a TV: The 2026 Sales Calendar

TV prices follow a predictable annual cycle. The same TV that costs full price in August drops 25-40% on Black Friday. Last year's flagship that was out of reach in spring becomes affordable in January clearance. Knowing when prices drop — and why — can save you hundreds without settling for a lesser TV. This calendar maps every major sale window in 2026.

Calendar showing TV sale events throughout the year

The Annual TV Pricing Cycle

TV pricing is driven by two forces: retailer sales events and manufacturer model transitions. Retailers drop prices to move inventory during holidays. Manufacturers drop prices on outgoing models when new ones arrive. Understanding both cycles reveals six windows where prices bottom out.

January - February: Super Bowl Sales

The year opens with Super Bowl TV promotions. Retailers know that millions of Americans buy a new TV before the big game, and they compete for that demand with 10-20% discounts on current models and 30-40% clearance on previous-year stock.

What to Buy

  • Previous-year premium models at clearance pricing — This is the sweet spot. Last year's flagships are being cleared to make room for the new lineup announced at CES (held in January). The picture quality is 90-95% of the new models at a fraction of the price.
  • Current models with moderate discounts — Not as deep as Black Friday, but better than regular pricing.

The LG 55" OLED C4 ($800–$1,200) is a prime example — it is the 2024 OLED C-series at closeout pricing, delivering 90% of the C5 experience for significantly less. Read our review.

CES Announcements Create Clearance

When Samsung, LG, and Sony announce new TV lineups at CES in January, retailers immediately start clearing old inventory. You do not need to wait for the new models to ship — the clearance prices on the outgoing models are available immediately after the announcements. The window lasts through February.

March - May: New Model Launches

New TV models announced at CES start arriving in stores between March and May. Samsung and LG typically ship first (March-April), followed by Sony, TCL, and Hisense (April-June).

The Opportunity

  • Deepest clearance on outgoing models — Retailers need the floor space. Previous-year TVs hit their absolute lowest prices during this period.
  • Do not buy new models at launch pricing — New releases are at their highest price. The same TV will be 15-20% cheaper by August.

The clearance window is short. Once the previous year's stock sells out, it is gone. Unlike phones or laptops, TVs are manufactured in yearly batches. If you want a 2024 model at clearance pricing, act during the March-May window — by June, the best deals will be sold out.

The Amazon 55" Omni QLED 2023 ($300–$500) demonstrates this pattern — it is the 2023 Omni QLED at clearance pricing, offering QLED and Ambient Experience at near-budget cost because the 2025 model has arrived. Read our review.

June - July: Amazon Prime Day

Prime Day is typically held in mid-July and has become the second-largest TV sales event after Black Friday. Amazon discounts its own Fire TV lineup aggressively, and competing retailers (Best Buy, Walmart, Target) run parallel sales to avoid losing customers.

What to Expect

  • 15-30% off current-year models — The first significant price drop on the newest TVs.
  • Amazon/Fire TV brands see the deepest cuts — Insignia, Toshiba, and Amazon Omni series typically drop 20-35%.
  • TCL and Hisense compete aggressively — These brands use Prime Day to gain market share with sharp discounts.
  • Samsung and LG discounts are more modest — 10-15% off, with occasional deeper cuts on specific sizes.

Budget TVs like the Insignia 55" Fire TV (Under $300) often hit their all-time low prices during Prime Day. Read our review.

Prime Day Strategy

Set price alerts on the specific TV model you want two weeks before Prime Day. Many deals start 24-48 hours before the official event. The deepest discounts sell out fast — within hours on popular models. Do not comparison-shop during the event; do your research beforehand and buy the moment your target price hits.

August - September: Back-to-School Lull

This is the worst time to buy a TV. Retailers focus on back-to-school electronics (laptops, tablets). TV prices stabilize at their post-launch "settled" pricing — typically 10% below launch price but well above sale pricing. No major TV-focused sales events happen in this window.

The Exception

Labor Day (early September) brings minor sales — usually 10-15% off — at Best Buy and Costco. Decent if you cannot wait, but not worth rushing for.

Do not buy at full price in August. If you can wait 8-10 weeks, October Prime Day and Black Friday deliver substantially better prices. A TV at full retail in August often drops 30-40% by Black Friday. Patience pays.

October: Prime Big Deal Days

Amazon's second Prime Day event (Prime Big Deal Days, typically mid-October) offers a preview of Black Friday pricing. Discounts are slightly shallower than July Prime Day for TVs, but it serves as a useful benchmark for Black Friday expectations.

When October Makes Sense

  • You found your target TV at a price you are comfortable with
  • You want to avoid the Black Friday rush and potential stock-outs
  • The specific model you want is at risk of being discontinued before November

November: Black Friday and Cyber Monday

The main event. Black Friday remains the single best day to buy a TV. Prices drop 25-40% below regular pricing, and doorbuster deals at Best Buy and Walmart can reach 50% off on select models. Cyber Monday extends the window with online-only deals that are slightly less aggressive but still excellent.

Black Friday TV Deal Categories

  • Doorbusters (limited quantity, in-store or early online) — The deepest discounts. Specific models, often in limited quantities. These sell out within hours. The TV may be a retailer-exclusive SKU with slightly lower specs than the standard model — always check the model number.
  • Broad sales (25-35% off popular models) — The main event for most buyers. Current-year models from Samsung, LG, TCL, Hisense, and Sony at their best prices of the year. These deals typically last through Cyber Monday.
  • Bundle deals (TV + soundbar, TV + streaming stick) — Some retailers bundle accessories at a discount alongside the TV. Evaluate whether you actually need the bundle items — sometimes buying separately is cheaper.

The TCL 65" QM6K ($500–$800) and the Hisense 65" U75QG ($500–$800) are already aggressive values at regular pricing — on Black Friday, they become some of the best TV deals available at any price. TCL review | Hisense review.

The Black Friday Research Strategy

Do not wait until Black Friday to research TVs. By November, you should already know exactly which model and size you want. Use our reviews and buying guides to narrow your choices in October. On Black Friday, your only job is to check the price and click buy. Impulse decisions during the sale are how people end up with the wrong TV.

December: Holiday and Post-Holiday Sales

Early December offers slightly elevated prices as last-minute holiday shoppers pay a premium. Post-Christmas (December 26-31) brings a brief clearance window as retailers dump remaining inventory before year-end accounting. Prices are better than August but not as good as Black Friday.

The Pricing Strategy Summary

When Event Typical Discount Best For
Jan-Feb Super Bowl / CES Clearance 10-20% (current) / 30-40% (previous year) Previous-year flagships
Mar-May New Model Launches 30-50% (outgoing models) Clearance steals on last year's stock
July Prime Day 15-30% Fire TV, TCL, Hisense current models
Aug-Sep Back-to-school (avoid) 5-10% Do not buy — wait for Black Friday
October Prime Big Deal Days 10-25% Early Black Friday preview pricing
November Black Friday / Cyber Monday 25-40% Everything — best prices of the year
December Post-holiday clearance 10-20% Remaining Black Friday stock

Three Rules for Smart TV Buying

1. Buy Last Year's Model Whenever Possible

Year-over-year improvements in TV technology are incremental. A 2024 model at 30-40% off outperforms a 2025 model at the same price almost every time. The exception is a genuine technology leap — like LG's Tandem OLED or TCL's Halo Control system — where the new tech solves a real problem.

2. Research Before the Sale, Not During It

Black Friday pressure causes impulse buys. Every year, millions of buyers grab a "great deal" on a TV they did not research, then discover it lacks features they need. Read our reviews, decide on your model, and use the sale purely as a trigger to buy at the right price.

3. Set a Price Alert and Stick to Your Target

Use Amazon price tracking tools (CamelCamelCamel, Honey, or Amazon's own wishlist alerts) to monitor your target TV. Set a price you are willing to pay based on historical lows. When it hits your number, buy — regardless of whether a "bigger sale" might come later. Waiting for a marginally better deal often means missing the deal entirely.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Black Friday still the best time to buy a TV?
Black Friday remains the single best day for TV deals, particularly on doorbuster models at Best Buy, Amazon, and Walmart. Prices on popular models drop 25-40% below typical sale prices. The catch: the deepest discounts are often on specific SKUs (sometimes with slightly lower specs than the standard model). Check the exact model number against our reviews before buying.
Are Amazon Prime Day TV deals worth it?
Prime Day (typically July) offers the second-best TV prices of the year, with 15-30% discounts on current-year models. Fire TV and Amazon-branded TVs see the steepest cuts. Other brands participate aggressively to compete for attention. Prime Day is the best time to buy if you cannot wait until November.
Do TV prices drop after the Super Bowl?
Yes. Retailers run TV sales in January through early February to capture Super Bowl demand. The discounts are moderate (10-20%) — not as deep as Black Friday but better than regular pricing. This period is ideal for buying last year's premium models at steep clearance prices before spring inventory arrives.
Should I buy last year's model at a discount or this year's model at full price?
Buy last year's model in almost every case. Year-over-year TV improvements are incremental — slightly better processing, marginally higher brightness, minor software updates. A 2024 flagship at 30-40% off will outperform a 2025 mid-range at full price. The exceptions are new technology launches (like Tandem OLED in 2025) where the improvement is substantial.
When do new TV models come out?
New TV models are announced at CES in January and start shipping between March and June. Samsung and LG models typically arrive in March-April. TCL and Hisense new models often ship in May-June. Sony models arrive April-May. The period immediately before and after new models ship is the best time to buy the previous generation at clearance pricing.
Are Costco or warehouse club TV deals better?
Costco adds value through extended warranties (90-day return policy, 2-year warranty on electronics, plus additional years with Costco Visa). The TV prices themselves are competitive but rarely the absolute lowest. The warranty and return policy protection can be worth more than the $20-$50 you might save elsewhere. Costco also occasionally stocks exclusive models or bundles.
Do TV prices go up during holiday shipping crunches?
Prices generally do not increase, but popular models sell out. If you are targeting a specific TV during Black Friday or Prime Day, buy early in the sale window. By the end of Cyber Monday, the most popular models at the best prices are frequently out of stock. Setting price alerts on Amazon and Best Buy helps you catch the deal the moment it drops.

Time Your Purchase, Maximize Your Budget

Buying the right TV at the right time can save 25-40% — enough to move up an entire tier. A buyer with a mid-range budget who shops on Black Friday can afford a Mini-LED TV that would have been out of reach at regular pricing. Check our TV budget guide to understand what each price bracket delivers, then use this calendar to hit the best window. For month-by-month detail, see our TV deals calendar.

Know what to buy before the sale drops

Read our reviews now so you are ready to buy when prices hit bottom.

Read TV Buying Guide